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Wednesday’s (11-22-2017) Power Page and PLUS for Aqueduct are ready for download…

After what was a terrific run of big prices horses and solid results, on Sunday at Del Mar, several JJPP players got DQ’d out of the Pick Six.  Bold Papa was going to be the 5th consecutive TOP-RATED horse on the Power Page-Classic, when the Inquiry went up.  And once we say the head-on, there was little doubt we could survive that call…  It seemed fair to me, but oh so painful… The only thing to do is… reload and take aim!

 

Terrible Training Jobs!  will be this weeks Blur”p”… I am beginning to work on it right now!  I am totally surprised by some of the poor races run, from some of our best and most heralded trainers, obviously I will be discussing Bob Bafferts horses performance and as noted below, Richard Mandella will make this list, and there are others… The important thing here, is to be aware, as the tides might be changing some… they always seem to.

Sensational performances, by horse, jockey and trainer!  This is one I will be enjoying and look forward to discussing…

I will be Blur”p”ing a Post BC Review… If you want to receive these, just send me an e-mail to jerryj@cox.net,   I will be happy to add your name to the list and send you the BC Blurps… this is a totally FREE service… but only for our friends.

 “Race Day Las Vegas” Plays

Wednesday’s

Aqueduct was the home to 2 plays on Race Day today.  In the first play we tabbed an first time starter,dial Josh, who went off at a pretty big price,  broke in a slow stride, while racing as one of two back markers, offering a very modest run in the stretch finishing mid-pack, while NEVER really in the hunt.

Then in my next play, Tiznoble in the 5th off at 6/1… broke a touch slow, then rushed up in the first quarter to be right off the pace, moved up to challenge for the lead around the turn and was in mortal combat turning for home, regained the lead at the 3/16th pole to gain supremacy, but was caught in the final 100 yards to be the victim of a stout closing run by the favorite (who had mensa-like money puffing wind in his sails)…  Tiznoble raced to his name, and was MUCH THE SECOND BEST – while holding the PLACE.  Tabbed exacta of $13.80/$1 and Trifecta of $53.25/$1.

Thursday’s

The first play was at Aqueduct, we took a stand on Moviemaker in the 6th off at 8/1.  This turf to dirt angle didn’t work well at all… MM was racing on the outside and from off the pace, which turns out to have been a good trip yesterday, but a terrible trip today… Still he only raced middling… with others running superior races while encountering similar difficulties… I might like this horse going back on turf… maybe…

At Del Mar, my 2nd play of the day was Silky Spy who ran a terrific race… going to the front and improving her position from there.  She was brilliant from flag fall to finish – off at 5/2, the $7.20 win price seems generous in retrospect, but right at my published fair value…  As stated on Race Day, this was primarily a straight win bet…

Friday

Sandy Belle in the 8th went off at 8/1 – when the gate open Sandy Belle set out like a rocket… in fact she was in a one horse speed duel with herself… this left her a 100 yard shy of the finish line when she had enough… She might be interesting to follow…

Then at Del Mar, Lady Ninja off at 8/1 – was well controlled after the gate opened to take up position mid-pack and down on the rail.  She was “confidently handled” while looking for a seem, she moved outside but still never found a seem and finished about 2 ½ lengths back but in 5th position, while always in behind.  There might be another way to look at this effort – which is likely, that she was getting her conditioning in and will be sharper next time… 

Saturday

Race #6 saw our Pop Out Key, Desert Stone off at 20/1… before mentioning the racing this horse “didn’t do”, it was a bit odd, that a Rudy Rodriguez horse would blow out to such a high price…with longshots I do not like to back off because of odds, but sometimes it gets me to “dutch” the play…  Anyway, Desert Stone got to the back of the pack – comfortably, started a rally on the far turn, but then flattened out to finish near the back… disappointing!

Sunday’s

My first play, Mt. Leinster- Scratched.

My next play , in race #6, Lake Time off at 5/1, ran a credible race, while wide the entire trip, which was not totally surprising as this race ended up being very “bunched”, so with that trip on what appears to be a Speed favoring track and not kind to wide runner, was not able to overcome… finished 3rd in what I think was a good effort.

TOTALS   for New York and So. Cal Plays

(starting February 24, 2017 )

NY   Total Return   $405.70, Total Cost $ 344.00 ROI Total   $1.18/$1.00

SC  Total Return   $321.10, Total Cost $ 332.00,  ROI Total   $ .97/$1.00

Returns on all plays for 2017

Total Return $ 835.90
Total Cost   $ 810.00

ROI $1.03    (1-1-2017 thru 11/19/2017)

 

 

 

Sunday (11-19-2017) Power Page and PLUS for Aqueduct and Del Mar are ready for download…

Highlights…

the JJPPs have been loaded with highlights – I guess I should be highlighting them to you…

Friday’s Del Mar, in the 8th race, Taste’s Legend was our TOP CONTENDER, but also on the Contenders List was Celebrate Life!

Celebrate Life won at 37/1 and the Taste’s Legend finished 2nd … the exacta paid $427.70 for a simple $1 exacta box…  if you took the Top Contender, Taste’s Legend and made exacta boxes with the other Contenders…  by the way, the trifecta came from our Conteders List as well… anyone who boxed the Contenders List for $1.00, took down the trifecta for $3,370.00 for $24.00 or half that for 50 cents.

Then at Aqueduct on Saturday… in the 4th race my ONLY STAR horse on the entire card and also Top Rated on the Power Page and TOP Contender on the PLUS… went off well above her M/L of 7/2… winning in a romp any paying $19.00/$2.00… and I repeat – THE ONLY STAR HORSE on the entire card…

And if that wasn’t enough, in the 6th… my V horse, Time On Target,  went off at 27/1 — winning and producing a $55.00 payoff.  Now that Radio Play Desert Code at 20/1, which included the #12 TOT in the play… but you are allowed to play two longs in a race and hook up more than one horse in your horizontal plays… 

Then in the 8th at Aqueduct, Monster Bea off at 19/1 and rated 2nd in the Contenders List and with the 3rd highest PPN on the JJPP, ran a Monster of a Race, to get 2nd and set off some beautiful exactas…

And then to finish off Aqueduct, my “V” horse – Miss Catiecat off at 23/1 ran on well to get 3rd.  The Top Contender was the chalk… so I am sure intelligent players could figure something useful to do, useful and profitable.

Hopefully, more to come as the day goes on…

Terrible Training Jobs!  I am totally surprised by some of the poor races run, from some of our best and most heralded trainers, obviously I will be discussing Bob Bafferts horses performance and as noted below, Richard Mandella will make this list, and there are others… The important thing here, is to be aware, as the tides might be changing some… they always seem to.

Sensational performances, by horse, jockey and trainer!  This is one I will be enjoying and look forward to discussing…

I will be Blur”p”ing a Post BC Review… If you want to receive these, just send me an e-mail to jerryj@cox.net,   I will be happy to add your name to the list and send you the BC Blurps… this is a totally FREE service… but only for our friends.

 “Race Day Las Vegas” Plays

Wednesday’s

Aqueduct was the home to 2 plays on Race Day today.  In the first play we tabbed an first time starter,dial Josh, who went off at a pretty big price,  broke in a slow stride, while racing as one of two back markers, offering a very modest run in the stretch finishing mid-pack, while NEVER really in the hunt.

Then in my next play, Tiznoble in the 5th off at 6/1… broke a touch slow, then rushed up in the first quarter to be right off the pace, moved up to challenge for the lead around the turn and was in mortal combat turning for home, regained the lead at the 3/16th pole to gain supremacy, but was caught in the final 100 yards to be the victim of a stout closing run by the favorite (who had mensa-like money puffing wind in his sails)…  Tiznoble raced to his name, and was MUCH THE SECOND BEST – while holding the PLACE.  Tabbed exacta of $13.80/$1 and Trifecta of $53.25/$1.

Thursday’s

The first play was at Aqueduct, we took a stand on Moviemaker in the 6th off at 8/1.  This turf to dirt angle didn’t work well at all… MM was racing on the outside and from off the pace, which turns out to have been a good trip yesterday, but a terrible trip today… Still he only raced middling… with others running superior races while encountering similar difficulties… I might like this horse going back on turf… maybe…

At Del Mar, my 2nd play of the day was Silky Spy who ran a terrific race… going to the front and improving her position from there.  She was brilliant from flag fall to finish – off at 5/2, the $7.20 win price seems generous in retrospect, but right at my published fair value…  As stated on Race Day, this was primarily a straight win bet…

Friday

Sandy Belle in the 8th went off at 8/1 – when the gate open Sandy Belle set out like a rocket… in fact she was in a one horse speed duel with herself… this left her a 100 yard shy of the finish line when she had enough… She might be interesting to follow…

Then at Del Mar, Lady Ninja off at 8/1 – was well controlled after the gate opened to take up position mid-pack and down on the rail.  She was “confidently handled” while looking for a seem, she moved outside but still never found a seem and finished about 2 ½ lengths back but in 5th position, while always in behind.  There might be another way to look at this effort – which is likely, that she was getting her conditioning in and will be sharper next time… 

Saturday

Race #6 saw our Pop Out Key, Desert Stone off at 20/1… before mentioning the racing this horse “didn’t do”, it was a bit odd, that a Rudy Rodriguez horse would blow out to such a high price…with longshots I do not like to back off because of odds, but sometimes it gets me to “dutch” the play…  Anyway, Desert Stone got to the back of the pack – comfortably, started a rally on the far turn, but then flattened out to finish near the back… disappointing!

At Del Mar in Race #7, my play was Go To Mary, off at 9/5 sharp to the lead early, made every pole a winning one, drawing away late in a solid winning effort…the price was $5.80… WE made the exacta and the trifecta on our spreads…

 

TOTALS   for New York and So. Cal Plays

(starting February 24, 2017 )

NY   Total Return   $405.70, Total Cost $ 344.00 ROI Total   $1.18/$1.00

SC  Total Return   $326.90, Total Cost $ 332.00,  ROI Total   $ .98/$1.00

Returns on all plays for 2017

Total Return $ 841.700
Total Cost   $ 812.00

ROI $1.04  (1-1-2017 thru 11/18/2017)