April 2, 2010

Thursday’s play…Harmony’s Hope gave us a really bad beat, as the play said, we played the exacta box with Real Housewife, THE FIRSTY who paid $25.60, but we didn’t get to cash the exacta when Very Vintage hung the slimmest nose on us at the wire…What is important we were in place to take down a 3 figure exacta by correctly using the 6/1 morning line as the key element in our decsision and staying somewhat clear of the morning line favorite, Ususally Super who was anything but super today.  We didn’t get paid, but these plays will cash more than their fair share…I would say we bet right, but we were unlucky!

ROI return =$12.10 / $28.00 is the cost…The ROI  remains a   negative.

Ssanta Anita….Race #5…Gotham Devil is the clear pop-out-key in this heat today…The whole story is the high PPN from the Power Page for Gotham Devil, you must note this gelding hasn’t raced since he was a 2 year old, he is now a 5 year old…When I make the PPN’s on the layoff horses, I am very hard, and yet this gelding still rates out better then this very weak group…I make this horse a 50-50 proposition and his morningline is 3/1.  I will be glad to bet him down to 2/1.  Think about it, if you were playing blackjack and they paid you 2/1 on 20.  I’ll take this prop all day long…

Note today’s 6th race will be the play on Race Day Las Vegas and the Free Play for purchasing any product will be today’s 7th at Santa Anita…  So for the $2.00 purchase price you will have a very playable PICK-3 from Race #5 through Race #7…

The FREE PLAY is sent up to 11AM PT…so purchase early….