August 7,2010
Top Rated horses have finished (1st or 2nd) 154 out of 295 times — from June 25th through July 18th. Every race with least 1 rated starter was counted at both Belmont and Hollywood Park during this period. This means that the TOP-RATED horses emulate the frequency of being a favorite without always having the negative of being the favorite — the short price.
Beyond that, remember, you can adjust my PPN’s on the Power Pages according to your own handicapping, since I don’t include important fundemental handicapping factors such as post position, workouts, trainer patterns, jockey moves, claiming, 1st gelding and anything else you can think of that isn’t in a speed figure. Just taking this set of horses and improving the set with your own handicapping should make you a winner, if we can keep the frequency rate up…Let’s follow it together, through Del mar and Saratoga…
Naturally, at the beginning of the meeting, with the most recent races occurring at other tracks, we might expect the top-rated horses to be slightly less frequent. We can learn together, so far at Del Mar the TR is 18 (1st or 2nds) out of 55 races, through Saturday 7/24/10 — including all the turf to dirt races at Saratoga. I will continue to follow these and include Saratoga to the mix…STAR horses are PLUS EQUITY! Update on Sunday 8/8/10
Yesterday’s Free Play at SARATOGA…Race #7 …Key -> Cheyenne Native…Ran fine to place…priced well!
Today’s Free Play –Saratoga’s 9th Race…The TEST STAKES, always one of my favorites features Franny Freud, many will hold her birth in New York against her, but I just say, “FAST IS FAST!” Trust me, this filly is really fast and if she runs her race she will leave these in the dust. The question is what is a fair price, because the only thing that will beat Franny is Franny not firing and I don’t see any reason she won’t. So while everyone is looking West to Zenyatta, we have a really talented filly in Saratoga that should start getting national attention. Any price above the 2/1 looks like premium to me… For those of you who heard my “op ” on Race Day, I thing the final Pick 3 goes something like this singling Franny Freud in the 9th, using my top 3 horses in the 10th and then my top 2 in the 11th. I will press a Pick 3 of Franny Freud, Mine That Bird and Jacob’s Dream! Good Luck…