Yesterday I headlined this space – discussing the “plethora of playable longshots” on both the Aqueduct and Los Alamitos cards. What I was saying was – there are ‘obvious horses to consider which are big prices’ and they were there. They didn’t all do as well as I hoped, but one did and it was super easy to find. In the 6th at Aqueduct, the top rated PPN was Factor This who ended up going off at 22/1. And to continue being perfectly honest, I did not expect this horse to go off at double digit odds. The Morning Line was 12/1 and with his good race on the turf on Oct 27th, I figured he would go off at around 6/1. But it doesn’t matter what I thought, what matters is he was an obvious overlay for a Top Rated horse. There was little to think about when this happened, just make a good win/place wager, make a few exacta boxes with the chalk and a few horses you like and then a press exacta with my ONLY STAR horse – Power Of Attorney. This simple and beautiful strategy would have gotten you a place wager to cash and a whopping $284.00 exacta.
And this should have covered a few more attempts at some big prices and even if you didn’t hit anything else, that kind of score should have left you with plenty of ammo for tomorrow… just saying…
Sensational performances, by horse, jockey and trainer! This is one I will be enjoying and look forward to discussing…
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“Race Day Las Vegas” Plays
Wednesday’s Play
2 Plays at Aqueduct today, the first, Exchanging Secrets, ran a little to get 2nd, but looked a choppy to my eye, off at 3/5, was too low to play if you could have waited long enough to see the sudden price drop. But did manage the PLACE… I was betting against the winner, entirely.
Then my 2nd play was Beckert’s Galazy in the 8th… off at 8/1 was clearly a price I could live with, but the effort BG made was “really hard to live with… urged out of the gate to attend the pace, then fell back some on the turn and had no rally finishing way back… poor effort…
Thursday’s Play started with Carolina Shag who was running vigorously on the front and turned for home with a lead, when she suddenly and abruptly started to struggle. My eye suggests she had troubles greater than “normal tiring”. Injuries happen, even to the most well meant horses and plays.
Then at Los Alamitos, at huge odds Chief of Staff went along in attendance to the lead, well placed on the outside, midway thru the turn, started to be out-classed and tired.
TOTALS for New York and So. Cal Plays
(starting February 24, 2017 )
NY Total Return $414.10, Total Cost $ 360.00 ROI Total $1.15/$1.00
SC Total Return $331.50, Total Cost $ 342.00, ROI Total $ .97/$1.00
Returns on all plays for 2017
Total Return $ 854.70
Total Cost $ 836.00
ROI $1.02 (1-1-2017 thru 11/30/2017)