6/5/2011

Race #3 at Belmont is a most interesting little overnite Stakes race, in which Rail Trip is a participant.  For those of you not familiar with Rail Trip, here is a horse that has multiple placings and a win in Grade-I competition — on the synthethics in California.  Last he shipped East for the Jockey Gold Cup at Belmont for his first and only try on a regular dirt track.   He ran terribly…  Rail Trip has run some terrific races and one that hit as high as an 81.5, and several races over 78.0.  But they are all on the synthetics.   His one race on the Dirt was just a 70.5.   So to assign a number for his comeback race at Belmont, is clearly a guess…  If he was running on synthetics, I would assign him at least a 77.5, but this is regular dirt and the PPN is just a 75.0…Soemtimes in this game we have to use a littel guesswork…  It is a tough game…