The beauty of playing small fields…

Racing continues this Sunday with another smallish card at Santa Anita.  This may be upsetting to some, but as I learned early on in my career – from the best player – small fields are terrific bankroll builders. It’s still a simple concept… find a horse that is paying more than he should and make a play on that horse.

Typically, you might consider a horse with a 25% chance of winning, who is off at 5/1.  In this case you will win 1 in 4 times and be paid a premium if you get the 5/1.  Continue doing this and you will build your bankroll!  In a smaller field, say 5 horses, the proposition might be that you think a horse will win 50% of the time, and possibly looking at odds of 3/2.  Can you imagine playing blackjack and getting paid 3/2 on a hand of 20!  These types of propositions will occur over and over again and sometimes you will see an example like Cistron from Saturday’s 5th race.  While I would agree that Kantharos and Dr. Dorr were more likely to win, maybe at 2/1 and 3/1… Cistron certainly would win this race between 15% and 20% of the time… or said another way, 1in 5 or 1 in 6 times…  as we all know, Cistron won paying almost 7/1…

Sure the others were a little more likely, but the odds made Cistron a Pop-Out-Key… the kind that will be happening more and more during this period of small fields and difficult handicapping.   This is actually the best time to be playing Santa Anita – but only if you are thinking that building your bankroll is the object of your play!

I am going to repeat something now, that I will be repeating over and over again… You don’t need me to put you on chalk, but you have to try and find the strength to NOT PLAY THE CHALK…

Sunday’s Menu…

Aqueduct  — Dark

Gulfstream  —   Jerry J’s Power Page – Classic – only

Santa Anita — Jerry J’s Power Page – Classic – and PLUS…

Stay With the Power Page…