We had a solid day of handicapping on Thursday, with 8 Pop Out Keys identified on the JJPP-PLUS. These are always a good way to evaluate my products. The Pop Out Key’s take into account many important handicapping factors — and especially the PRICE.
So we had 3 winner, Safari Kitten $6.60, Second Gear $8.20 and Wicked Old Fashion $11.00. $25.80 in winning against a cost of only $16.00 — a good day… but we did much much more… First, was Swiss Alps off at 15/1 who ran 2nd, converting a beautiful $39.40/$1.00 exacta with our top rated horse… So we had a day that was built around some very nice plays that paid off… and of course we are always trying to hit the Grand Slam… so here were the swings we took with the other 4 horses….
Scatnap in the 2nd at Gulfstream, off at 10/1, ran 4th…
Suess in the 10th at Gulfstream, off at 10/1, ran 3rd
Black Storm in the 1st at Santa Anita, off at 96/1, ran 5th
Arch Prince in the 4th at Santa Anita, off at 12/1, ran 4th after closing some 10 lengths to draw on even terms with the ultimate leader… this guy was definitely fighting a bias…
The point is… nobody can pick all winner – all the time, but if we can identify, for you, horses that actually do outrun their odds… we are going to be doing better than alright.
Today we had 3 winners and 1 place horse from the 8 featured Pop Out Key’s on both JJPP-PLUS… but we also had 4 other horses, that carried huge prices, who did some decent running, trying to get “baby some new shoes!”.
Any questions, just e-mail at jerryj@cox.net.
| McKinzie | 79.5 <– 3 yr |
| Bolt D’Oro | 2 yr -> 79.8 |
| Good Magic | 74.3 <– 3yr |
| Solomini | 2 yr -> 75.3 |
| Instilled Regard | 75.5 ß 3 yr |
| Combatant | 74.8 <– 3 yr |
| Mask | 74.8 <– 3 yr |
| Mendelssohn | 2 yr -> 75.5 |
| Free Drop Billy | 76.5 <– 3 yr |
| Bravazzo | 76.0 <– 3 yr |
| Snapper Sinclair | 76.3 <– 3 yr |
| Noble Indy | 76.0 <– 3 yr |
| Audible | 78.0 <– 3 yr |
| Promises Fulfilled | 76.5 <– 3 yr |
“Race Day Las Vegas” Plays
Thursday’s
Gulfstream Park… In Race #6 our play was Safari Kitten off at 2/1, broke alertly from the outside post, and moved to 3rd position behind dueling leaders, not losing too much ground in the 1st turn, stayed off the rail while apparently full of run, but just holding position, go her cue on the far turn, and moved to the leaders 3 wide, took over mid-stretch to win well, paying $6.60, but the real overlay was our best exacta that paid $26/1 and the Trifecta paid $77/1, which were the right play …
Santa Anita… In Race #1 our play was Black Storm off at 90/1, (just a comment on 90/1 long shots, they don’t win that often and you better play them to PLACE as well as win). Black Storm broke a evenly, maybe a tad slow, but moved into a good stride, it wasn’t too long before he took up 3rd position a length off the dueling leaders, continued to the dirt crossing a clear 3rd, but started to “get late” around the 3/16th pole. Finishing 5th and outrunning his odds. This is a play I am very PROUD OF, even in defeat.
TOTALS for New York, Gulfstream Park and So. Cal Plays 2018
NY Total Return $67.20, Total Cost $ 56.00 ROI Total $1.20/$1.00
Gulf Total Return $40.80, Total Cost $ 24.00 ROI Total $1.70/$1.00
SC Total Return $72.20, Total Cost $ 70.00, ROI Total $1.03/$1.00
Returns on all plays for 2018
Total Return $ 180.20
Total Cost $ 150.00
ROI $ 1.20 / $1.00 (1-1-2018 thru 3/8/2018)
——- History Below this line —-
Returns on all plays for 2017
TOTALS for New York and So. Cal Plays
(starting February 24, 2017 )
NY Total Return $414.10, Total Cost $ 396.00 ROI Total $1.05/$1.00
SC Total Return $357.10, Total Cost $ 367.00, ROI Total $ .96/$1.00
Total Return $ 880.30 Total Cost $ 896.00
ROI $ 0.98 (1-1-2017 thru 12/26/2017)
ROI $ 1.04 (1-1-2015 thru 12/31/2016)