7 consecutive Top-Rated winners on Thursday

That’s right, the Top Rated horse in the first 7 races won, and not at chalky prices.  Race #1 won by Sharpandwitty at $19.20, Race #2 Bileaps and B… $10.40, R#4 H man $20.00… so there were some real juicy prices — sitting right on TOP!  Here is what what happenned to me coming into the 8th race.   I didn’t succumb to my emotional need to hit the 8th race with my top rated horse Atlantic Smile.  The reason, Atlantic Smile was way over-bet – all the way down to 1/2, while my 2nd rated horse was looking solid at 5/1.  so while many were wondering if I would run the table with Top RAted hosres, I went down 1 notch, trying to match my play to the right value!  Remember, the Power Page is information, it’s a deep study into the current form — with only a passing reference to back class or power…  There were several Top Rated horses that won, that should — in my opinion — been bet against yesterday.  But, it’s really great to know the numbers (PPN) on the Power Page are simply sensational – at least they definately were  on Thursday at Aqueduct…

Hard efforts on young horses, what does it mean.  No doubt that Dortmund is one of the most talented of the young colts, but now we have a PAIR of  TOPS (an 80.0, 80.3) for Dortmund’s last two races.  Only one horse has run a two races at 80.0 or higher prior to the Kentucky Derby, that was Point Given.  So the data is thin in one respect but it’s really deep in another that being that hitting a number that high doesn’t normally happen this early.  Here is the big difference between Dortmund and Point Given — if memory serves me correctly.  Point Given ran his two 80+ races in the San Felipe and the Santa Anita Derby.  That means he didn’t have much time to recover from his PAIR OF TOPS before the KD.  Dortmund having run the pair as of March 7th, has more time to recover.  It will be curious to see how Bob Baffert handles Dortmund the rest of the way…  It’s not simply about the size of the effort or efforts, but it is also about recovery time…