Thursday’s (6-12-2014) Power Page and KHSS for Belmont and Santa Anita are ready for download…

It’s amazing how much interest there is in California Chrome and the “false” controversy put forth by Coburn.  Maybe it’s a blessing in disguise ,  an opportunity to appreciate how great Secretariat, Citation, Seattle Slew and Affirmed (Alydar)were in fact.  I took a few minutes to go practice a little golf, hitting some practice puts.  One of my golf friends wanted to talk some horses, I was a little surprised he even knew anything about horses, but he was surprisingly knowledgeable.   HE had all these stats on Secretariat and knew all about Sham – and their battle in 1973.  Mind you, my friend is deep into golf — just the same way I am into handicapping!  Next thing you know, other people on the putting green are coming over to ask more questions and “wonder out loud”!

I explainded, that the Triple Crown is NOT MEANT to be achieved.  It’s only something that can happen – “as an act of G-d” (My Opinion)!  And that’s the way it was designed and that is the way it is…  But I would argue, it’s easier to do now than it was in the 1970 and 1980.  The simple reason we have not had a Triple Crown winner, is we have not had any really strong, distance loving, super durable and really fast horses since then.  We have had plenty that almost filled the bill, but none who have quite made the grade.

Isn’t that OKAY!  Next time we have a really great horse as great as Affirmed (and Alydar), Seattle Slew, Citation or the amazing Secretariat, then we will have another Triple Crown winner — not before.  I ask each of you to do one thing, regardless of which side of the argument you feel represents your opinion…  Go look at Affirmed repel Alydar’s bid in the 1978 Belmont and then think about (or watch) the 2014 Belmont.  If you will do that, you will surely agree that CC is no Affirmed and should NOT be held in the same extremely high esteem.   But no  doubt, CC is a marvelous, hard trying and very talented race horse, but he is not Affirmed, no Alydar, no Seattle Slew, no Secretariat.

 

As my friend said, after I explained the difficulties of winning the Triple Crown, “To win the Triple Crown a horse has to be better than everyone on his worst day – not simply on his best day!”

Wednesday’s (6-11-2014) Power Page and KHSS for Belmont are ready for download…

There has been a great deal of talk — and stuff that passes for talk — on the subject making the the Triple Crown more fair.  Much of the commentary is by people who really don’t know much (my opinion).  I have heard the following, the Triple Crown should be changed because horses are not bred to go distances anymore.  That may or may not be true, but what does that matter — think about it – there still is a particular population of horses and if they are not as good as  previous generations at getting 1 1/2  mile, so what — isn’t it STILL just equal for everyone anyway.  But let’s look at some crude stats.  Prior to 1948, when horse populations were smaller, there were a total of 8 Triple Crown winners and from 1948 until now there has been 4 Triple Crown winners (5 if you include Alydar as I like to do.)  That doesn’t seem  so tilted.

Let’s investigate further —  Real Quiet, Smarty Jones, Afleet Alex, Hansel, Risen Star and Point Given would all have won the Triple Crown if it wasn’t for special circumstances on the track.  Think about this — Risen Star, Hansel, Point Given and Afleet Alex all should have won the Triple Crown except they  managed to not run sharply in the Kentucky Derby, but then prevailed in both the Preakness and the Belmont —  these four were all clearly best of their generation — all competed in all three legs but  for whatever reason didn’t fire in the KD.  While Real Quiet and Smarty Jones simply got beat by tough trips in pretty narrow margins – in fact Real Quiet was beaten by the smallest margin in history of the Belmont.  So there could very easily — with a little luck  — been many more Triple Crown Winners since Citation in 1848 then before.  So simply add those back and the data is suggesting that it’s really no different from today to yesteryear.

The point is, there is no data,  that I see,  which suggests that anything needs to be changed for any reason I can see.  In fact  —   if there were regular winners of the Triple Crown, who would care, about the Triple Crown!  You wouldn’t get the crowds at Belmont on Belmont Stakes day as we got this weekend.  So in that regard – it’s a terrible idea to “Make it easier”.   In fact, I wonder if there should ever be another Triple Crown Winner — my answer is simple, next time there is a horse as good as Affirmed, Alydar, Seattle Slew, Secretariat and Citation…  And not before!  (Ididn’t even mention double winners like Swale and Unbridled who both won the KD and The Belmont but got beat in The Preakness)

To Mr. Coburn, you were fortunate to get such a  wonderful horse – but he is  is no Affirmed  and you can’t turn him into an Affirmed with ridiculous legislation.  Love your horse, but pay proper respect to the truly great ones that went before.   I say that we have not seen a truly great horse since Affirmed and Alydar battled to near death in the Belmont in 1978,.  There have been some near great horses – Spectacular Bid, Risen Star, the ill-fated Swale, Unbridled, Smarty Jones and many others – but they simply couldn’t handle something;  the turns at Pimlico, or the surface at Churchill Downs or the final 440 yards at the Belmont.  To cheapen the challenge is simply to cheapen the accomplishments of the truly great.

 

 

Then to the worst part of the idea, if you only allowed the horses to contest in the Belmont who also contested the KD and The Preakness, the entrants in the KD — who might really want to be in the Belmont because they are true marathoners – would have to be trained up to the KD and prepped accordingly.  So they would have to run in races their connections didn’t have any desire to run in.  And even force horses to be trained for the main Preps such as The Wood, The Santa Anita Derby, The Arkansas Derby and The Bluegrass well before their connections thought it right to run.  Simply put, “they” would be legislating the time of year all horses should be in training, the races they should be training for and the conditioning level each horse would have to attain.   If I own a horse, who I feel is best suited to run in the 1 1/2 mile Belmont, but not prepared or suited to run in THE PREP races, then I am being forced to enter and run when I am not feeling it’s best for my horse.  That should never be a part of racing at anytime!

How many Belmont horses would get washed out by taking on a training regiment that is ill-suited for their best interests.

In this regard, Mr. Coburn, is not really considering the horse at all.  CC is his horse, and he felt he could run on Belmont Day put in a good effort and return safely to his stall that night.  But for no reason whatsoever, should he have put his horse on the track on June 7th if he felt that his horse could be the worse for the effort  — Triple Crown or no Triple Crown.   I assume that Coburn and Sherman were responsible to the horse first and they should want the same thing for all horses — all of the time.  I congratulate them on running in the Preps and after coming to hand, moving along to The Santa Anita Derby, The Kentucky Derby and The Preakness.  I also think that CC ran very well in the Belmont adn they deserve congrat for that fine effort as well (horse and jockey).  Mr. Coburn didn’t take on anyone as he says, his horse did the taking on!  And while he feels he might be entitled to a softer field because CC carried more weight a longer distance – which CC definately did – I don’t think Secretariat, Seattle Slew, Citation and Affirmed/Alydar would agree.  And I certainly do not!!!!

My final thought, ” I am perfectly okay if no horse ever wins the Triple Crown again, so long as from time to time, there is a terrific horse trying to win it!”