Friday’s (5-17-2014) Power Page and KHSS for Belmont and Santa Anita are ready for download…

The Preakness Power Page is the 2nd page of either the Belmont or Santa Anita Power Page’s.  There is no need to make a separate purchase.  However, the Preakness is only a part of the Power Page’s and not part of the KHSS…

 

The Preakness offers a difficult handicapping situation, but an easy handicapping prop.  To the way I handicap, California Chrome should be wagered down to about 3/5 or even as low as 1/2.  So you could make an argument that if you are able to get 6/5 you are earning value.  I suppose that’s true, but unfortunately, if you  lose you will have to endure another 18 good ODDS-ON favorites in the Preakness to break even, so  you might have to live another 50 years.   The joy of handicapping and the pleasure we all get in watching a horse accomplish lofty goals is really at the core of this Preakness for me.   I just cannot find it in my game plan to bet CC at Even Money or less, even though we might be able to squeeze a touch of juice out of this betting lemon.

So this pretty much puts you into playing exotics – now here we have some really interesting ideas.  So please pick up your Power Page, in this edition, I have suggested an odds line – which added up to approximately 115 points (123 is optimal) so you have a good betting guideline… Good luck on you handicapping ….  This may be a Preakness to remember, so let’s all enjoy …

Friday’s (5-16-2014) Power Page and KHSS for Belmont and Santa Anita are ready for download…

Santa Anita is back up and running on Friday…

 

Betting traps can easily be defined as a horse that pays so little when he wins, that he doesn’t cover the cost of his losing.  Take a horse like Seattle Slew, who lost 3 times in his 15 career states.  So a typical $2.00 wager  would have cost you a total of $30.00 and if he returned EVEN money on each of his wins, he would have returned $4.00 x 12 wins or a total of $48.00.  That’s certainly a good deal.  But what if he returned only $2.40 as an average win wager – well then he would have returned for the same $30.00 investment only $28.80.    So in this case you would have won 12 times but lost money…   AS it happened, the great Seattle Slew won several races paying as more than $6.00 mutual or greater than 2/1.  I don’t think I have seen a horse in the past 37 years that compares with the great Seattle Slew, but I have seen plenty of claimers go off at prices below fair value….  Avoid Betting traps and if you are inclined to wager on some favorite, ask yourself if this horse is worth a “Seattle Slew” type price…