Thursday May 6, 2010

Resulting the Derby…  I will  make a full report for your review by Friday.  You will be able to receive that report with any purchase of any product starting Friday.

Resulting Free Plays:

Friday’s FREE Play Hollywood…Race #5…Sirocco Strike won paying $6.40…

Saturday’s Free Play…Lichtenstein …Scratched…

Sunday’s Free Play…Hollywood  – Race #7… Fifie’s Fantasy won paying $4.40

Wednesday Free Play…Hollywood – Race #5… Island of Zen  won paying $4.20

Today’s Free Play:

Thursday’s Free Play; Hollywood – Race #5 … We are looking at my STAR horse cookie’s Jewel, first time going to the grass course.  With the Theatrical bloodline on the bottom, you would have to expect this gelding to like the going.  The STAR on the Power Page indicated that the horse appears to be in a very positive form cycle.  But the caveat here is that the favorite, Holladay Road is handled by a trainer on a negative role.  So why not take the improving horse with a little unknown info at 5/against a clear negative at an underlay 2/1.  So if we know the favorite is an UNDERLAY, then it logically stands to reason that our horse should be an OVERLAY!  Good Luck…

Wednesday May 5, 2010

Resulting the Derby…  I will  make a full report for your review by Friday.  You will be able to receive that report with any purchase of any product starting Friday.

Resulting Free Plays:

Friday’s FREE Play Hollywood…Race #5…Sirocco Strike won paying $6.40…

Saturday’s Free Play…Lichtenstein …Scratched…

Sunday’s Free Play…Hollywood  – Race #7… Fifie’s Fantasy won paying $4.40

Wednesday Free Play…Hollywood – Race #5…Last night when I handicapped this race, I assumed that Island of Zen would be 4/5 on the morning line.  But the morning line is 5/2.  The morning line suggest Island of Zen would be a winner about 28% of the time (3/1 would be break even at 25% of the time, without noting “take”)   and at the 4/5 odds this horse appears to me, I am expecting this filly to win about 55% of the time.  Well that’s a giant spread.   So as long as this filly has a morning line over 3/2 I have enough margin for error in judgement to make a double unit wager.    Interestingly enough, some people do not realize but the best earning plays are low priced overlays, not high priced overlays.  That’s a subject for another discussion!    So here it is, I am making a Win wager and a double unit at 3/2 or higher!  Good Luck.