Thursday (4-12-2018) Power Page and PLUS for Aqueduct are ready for download…

Any questions, just e-mail at jerryj@cox.net

Aqueduct spring meet has arrived and it’s already one we like so much.  The Turf racing will add additional competition and spice up the daily card.  So it’s time to get back into NYRA racing as we go through this month and “prep” for Belmont.

Talking Kentucky Derby:

With the absence of Big Mac and The Bolt seeming to struggle in the late stages of his race with Justify the feel of the upcoming KD has started to shift more than just a little bit.   The list I am keeping has “shrunk” dramatically and it’s getting more ordered now.  Before I was simply putting up horses with their best figure…  while that remains the same, you can see I have dropped The Bolt a few pegs, because he keeps coming up short of his own 2 year old accomplishments.  Of course, I know there will be a full field of 20 – most likely – this list is now only 9 deep… but it will change some more after the Ark and the Lex…

The TRUE Kentucky Derby Contender’s List!

Justify 79.8  -> 3 yr
Audible 78.8 -> 3 yr
Mendelssohn 78.0 ->  3 yr
Good Magic 76.8 ->  3 yr
Bolt d’Oro 2 YR  –>79.8
Blended Citizen 77.3 -> 3 yr
My Boy Jack 76.5 -> 3 yr
Noble Indy 75.3 -> 3 yr
Magnum Moon 74.5 ->  3 yr

 

“Race Day Las Vegas” Plays

I  didn’t post from 3/30 through 4/8… during that period I had a bit of a tough run, with $24.00 in plays and only $7.40 returned from our winners… definitely a weak period!  Now it’s time to get back to winning.

Thursday

Race #5 at Aqueduct…. saw our Featured Play, My Bronx Tail get crazy and ultimately scratched…  no harm, not foul…

Race #7 at Aqueduct…A True Giant, off at 5/1, broke sharply, taking the early lead and holding sway for the win… exacta and trifecta filled… the win money was a solid $12.40.

TOTALS   for New York, Gulfstream and So. Cal Plays 2018

NY   Total Return   $86.90, Total Cost $ 80.00  ROI Total   $1.09/$1.00

Gulf   Total Return   $40.80, Total Cost $ 32.00 ROI Total   $1.28/$1.00

SC  Total Return   $79.60, Total Cost $ 92.00,  ROI Total   $.87/$1.00

Returns on all plays for 2018

Total Return $ 207.30

Total Cost   $ 204.00

ROI $1.02 / $1.00  (1-1-2018 thru 4/11/2018)

——- History Below this line —-

Returns on all plays for 2017

TOTALS   for New York and So. Cal Plays

(starting February 24, 2017 )

NY   Total Return   $414.10, Total Cost $ 396.00 ROI Total   $1.05/$1.00

SC  Total Return   $357.10, Total Cost $ 367.00,  ROI Total   $ .96/$1.00

Total Return $ 880.30 Total Cost   $ 896.00

ROI $ 0.98    (1-1-2017 thru 12/26/2017)

ROI $ 1.04    (1-1-2015 thru 12/31/2016)

 

 

Sunday’s (4-8-2018) Power Page and PLUS for Aqueduct and Santa Anita are ready for download…

Justify aka Freaky Fast cruises in the Santa Anita Derby and Good Magic waves his wand in the Toyota Bluegrass Stakes.  Continuing their pursuit of Kentucky Derby glory.

Also, in the Wood Memorial, Vino Rossi did some nice running, something I expected from him in his last out.  So he is back on track, but we will not over talk him until I get to review his speed figures in a few days.

Back to Good Magic, clearly he got a tremendous amount out of his effort in the Bluegrass, starting from the 11 post position and racing wide throughout.  This was both visually impressive, but will it yield a competitive speed fig, that’s the question.   Now on to Freaky Fast, who was incredible on all the visuals and his come home speed was way the fastest of any of the preps… let me say that again… way the fastest in come home speed…   We will have speed figs up for all the horses in a couple of days… but it’s pretty easy for me to say… Justify aka  Freaky Fast might well upset the ages in 5 weeks… and for horses, such as that think it’s a good idea to be on the front end, against this monster – think again!

Mendelssohn runs a 78.0 on JJ’s Fabulous Figs!

I was finally able to complete and certify the figs for Mendelssohn’s fantastic win in Dubai.  As the headline says, it was a 78.0.  Still a notch below others, but we are concerned about the direction of his form… he might well be getting better at the right time…

Just a comment on making the numbers for such a race… it’s really difficult, because all the other horses represent NO DATA for comparison.  And I do not keep pars for the Meydan Racing… and they really don’t have a class structure…  Also, all the distances are “About Distance” because their races are measured in Meters, not Yards…  This is meaningful…   But with horses like Thunder Snow, West Coast and several other horses I have in my databases, it is done and the number is correct.  This is a big figure and I will be discussing it in my Gaming Today article that will be published this upcoming Tuesday!

And finally, updates to this site will have to wait a couple more days…