The Pacific Classic headlines a very good Del Mar card…
At some point everyone will be handicapping and discussing the chances of Maximum Security in the Pacific Classic. Naturally, after his nose victory after his handoff from Servis to Baffert, was defined by 2 comments. Comment A) Maximum Security wasn’t fully tightened, this is natural Trainer SPEAK for this type of occurance. My comment was that even a undertrained Maximum Security should be able to dispatch that field without as much trouble as he had… Comment B) the race was way below PAR for both of the first 2 finishers.
In making a PPN for the race, there is no way, I cannot push Maximum Security’s PPN up to something representative, because at least 1/3 of the time Trainer Baffert’s comment will be on target and a better Max Security will show up today. But that is ONLY 1/3 of the time…
My handicapping has him at an underlay at 5/2 or lower! I think there is at least a 1/3 chance that this gelding is not as good anymore! Betting horses isn’t always about loving a horse… it’s about recognizing probably outcomes, some of which are good and some are not so good…
Maximum Security had a hard 3-year old campaign under Jason Servis and did run hard and run regularly. Now he returns for Bob Baffert who trains horses very hard but comparison… at least that is my understanding. And in his first return, he showed his heart and his try… but he didn’t show his real ability. He will have to do much better today to sell me on his form…
Daily Menu:
Saratoga – Jerry J’s Power Page Classic & Plus
Del Mar – Jerry J’s Power Page Classic & Plus
AS MY MOM WOULD SAY, “THERE IS NOTHING MORE EXCITING THAN WATCHING YOUR 2 BUCKS RUN!”