Two plays on Thursday produced two winners.  The play at Aqueduct should have been passed, I was expecting it to be second choice, but it got bet down to 2/5 and won paying $2.90.   My endorsement doesn’t mean squat when the odds go that low, the betting rule is to PASS on Underlays.  Lemon Tree won at Santa Anita, paying a tight $5.90 for $2.00, but playable.   The totals, improved a little — returning $214.00 at a cost of $202.00.  So as we pass the 100 play mark, the ROI is at $1.06 per $1.00 wagered.  Aqueduct has been producing a very high rate of favorites, but I think it’s time to consider that this trend would be likely to change.