My New Years Resolution….   May I always bet my overlays and Pass on my Underlays…

I just recently was hanging out at one of my Race Books that distribute the Power Page.  I went around to talk with the players, and I was amazed, how many people did not respond well to the idea of betting Overlays.  Several, people talked about betting off of short priced favorites and building exotics underneath.   Here is the math, Underlays steal your money at at least a 10% rate.  So you bet $1.00 and get back 90 cents, then you bet back the 90 cents and bet back only 81 cents and so on until your bankroll is ZERO.

be patient, find good horses at nice prices and you have a real chance to win, you certainly do not have to bet the horse that everyone says is the fastest!  Whne you look at the Power Page – with it’s laser look at current form, you will see over and over again, that based just on Current Form only (which I bleieve to be the most predictive data you can find), that often many horses are withing a couple of lengths of each other… So it doesn’t take much to make up this difference…  Happy New Year..

Happy New Year !!!

Now for a little business, in the first 3 days of the New Feature – “V” for Value Add in horse…  1) remember these are all M/L of 20/1 or higher (lower M/L in smaller fields)…  The basic idea is for these horses to have a chance to finish 4th, 3rd, or 2nd — but not so much 1st.  However, and I am really surprised this has occurred – a “V” horse that is in the top 3 or 4 of the rankings, has a terrific chance to win.   We had Doc Almon at 39/1 — rated 2nd on the Power Page — actually run a beautiful 2nd and pay $25.40 to PLACE.  Then on Sunday at Santa Anita — Harlington’s Rose had been assigned a “V” and was also rated 3rd on the Power Page – went off at 18/1 and won – paying $37.60 for a $2.00 win wager! Naturally, any horse that is 15/1 or better and in the Top 3 has to be considered a possible KEY horse and a terrific win/place wager on ODDS alone…  So that’s pretty much what happened with Harlington’s Rose.

Here are the stats on the “V” horses for the fist 3 day’s — Total “V” horses = 9;  4 ran 2nd;  2 ran 4th ; and 1 won at $37.60.  _ I would have to say , ” IMPRESSIVE.”

So while — for the most part – the “v” should be assigned to horses down the Power Page rankings, because these horses have a M\L: of 20/1.  IF they are higher up the ranking, then their chances of winning are better…  So for the most part, these are “Value Add-In horses, they can be KEY horses as well…