I am posting a little late on Tuesday night, so this blog will be brief…   You do the handicapping, with the Power Page you get excellent baseline information,  to begin your decision process with…  In the case of the STAR horses which have returned a total ROI of $1.40 per $1.00 wagered on regular cards since September 1…  You are start using a set that has put it’s players on PLUS STREET for the past 3 months at a historic rate…  While the rest of the players are all starting Breakage which is MINUS 15%.   IF anyone is using information that compares with the STAR horses on the Power Page or has a positive ROI of any kind, please let me know…

There are just so many good things that occurred on the track at Aqueduct and BF-Hollywood on Saturday.  First my handicapping of Singlet and Jaycito proved to be on point, with both reporting home solid winners.  Singlet paid only 2/1 so it might have been too tight a price, but Jaycito was solid right up to the end, we were all betting at 7/2 or 3/1 and dropped to 5/2 after the betting was done.  So this price should have been harvested.  Reenesgotzip won by an inch in a life and death stretch duel and Game ON Dude was all out to prevail over NONIOS (,my STAR horse) outgaming him.  The Dude paid only $2.60 for $2.00 wagered, so betting against him felt very good, even in losing and the same with Reneesgotzip who won by a slimmer margin.  So if you bet Groupie Doll, Reneesgotzip and Game On Dude you would have spent $6.00 and won back only $5.20, losing big in reality, but cashing twice.   Horse racing iv very cruel at the odds on prices…

Now lets contrast the bove UNDERLAYS  with a good value plays

Under the heading of betting TOP-RATED STAR horses at 9/2 or higher (a general rule of thumb).

In the first at BF – Hollywood my TOP RATED HORSE (did I say that loud enough) — Sonofatoayana went off at 58/1.  Now since I don’t include in my PPN’s the jockey or the trainer, it’s fair that the public would not accept this horse , even with my top rating as a 5/2 favorite or even a 5/1 long-shot (remember there were only 7 horses in the race).  You might demand more, but at what point do you say, here a very decent handicapper sees something positive in the relative ability of this horse when compared to the other horses in the race and I will accept and support this horse chance to win.  At 10/1, or at 20/ or 25/1 or even 30/1….  Which leads me to my next statement, did YOU decide to bet him at 35/1 or 40/1, how about 50/1…  At what point was the value so much greater than this horse probability to win?   For ME the right price was about 7/2…but that’s just me…  IF you thought that 10/1 was a square price and the horse was at 30/1 you should have been in…