Sometimes you have to identify a BIAS and adjust your thinking as you realize there are subtle advantages that favor one horse over another.   It we pretty obvious that EARLY-SPEED was a huge advantage on the Main Track and that made STAR HARBOUR  a strong play in the 8th.  Once you understood that his early speed was going to provide an advantage to him and his main competition was going to have to “overcome” the  bias — your adjustments should have had you betting strongly on STAR HARBOUR.   After seeing what was going on, on my past performance, I changed STAR Harbour from a 75.5 to a 76.5 and I demoted Gallant Field from 75.3 down to 74.3 and Fiddlers Afleet from 75.0 down to 74.00.   All of a sudden he was looking pretty good at 2/1…  Especially when you consider that MOTT is pretty good at getting his horses to run very well when they are freshened….

That how you do it…

Excellent day at Aqueduct for the Power Page faithful, especially in the 7th when STAR horse Sally’s Dream romped to victory paying a healthy overlay at $17.60 against a morning/Line of only 7/2.    One of my two Race Day plays came in literally in order, with Barnard’s Galaxy easily getting up over the fading sprinter War Hitch, with Big Creek closing for 3rd, Captain Webb failed to get 4th by the width of a wafer, while closing like a blurr…   Here is a perfect example of why the Trifecta is a better play than the superfecta especially when using a “short” in the top positions.  With a 2/1 horse on top, it’s unlikely the trifecta will pay more than $600.00.  In this exact case the Trifecta paid a very nice $205.00 with the Superfecta paid only $419…  But it was such an easy play to have the trifecta multiple times at a much lower cost…

I had some interesting questions on using the PPN’s, so I will make another FREE video and post for Saturday…