Playing the ODDS on horses…

This is a really bad idea… In the 3rd at Santa Anita, Mucho Unusual went off at 1/5, meaning you got $1 profit for every $5.00 wagered…  The first thing I want to know is, who is stupid enough to be the horse once it goes below 4/5.  What exactly happens, does someone with lots of money say to themselves, ” my g-d, this is unbelievable the profit on the horse is going down to such a little sliver, but I have to have some of that!”  I get you like the horse and it’s 4/5 or even 3/5 and you feel it’s a near certainty and you bet…   I DON”T , but someone does…

A little earlier in the day, at Belmont their was a Chad Brown horse, with big fast numbers returning off a layoff at 1/2.  Not much better than 1/5, but a little.  He looked like a winner every step of the way, except the last few steps, when he looked like an absolute loser…

So if you happen to bet both, you got back $2.40 on an investment of $4.00… and you would have to win 3 or 4 in a row to get back to plus street… I think it’s pretty easy to see, they are not automatic until they have pulled away in the stretch… and even then they could get DQ’d…

There is a simple way to handle these, especially if you are attracted to them in your handicapping… simply go get a cup of coffee and take a break… there are plenty more good races to play…

With a beautiful day at Belmont that saw 3 of the 6 turf races contested on the Main track, we actually had 6 very good races to build our day around.  I would say we had a very solid day once again… with our Featured Play running a solid 2nd, that was Chiclet’s Dream in the 8th.  I took a shot at beating the Chad Brown fav, with another Chad Brown horse – being Chicklet – who raced beautifully, but was just much the 2nd best today.  The winner was coming off something of a layoff but raced very sharply in winning.  It was about a second back to 3rd and 4th finishers.

Also, I put up another play in the 7th for Ralph and the Race Day listeners, who also ran 2nd in a very good effort.  And once again it was more than a second back to the 3rd horse.  The play was Gosilently in the 7th.  Unfortunately, Gosilently might have been a little overused in the opening quarter and left just a little vulnerable late.  The ultimate winner in this very hard fought battle was County Court who was our 2nd rated horse by just a smidge…  And with Gosilently bet way down to under 2/1, was probably the right play in REAL TIME…

We have two good cards today, at Belmont and at Santa Anita… so as always…

Stay with the Power Page…