The reason I am keeping score of my selections on Race Day Las Vegas is very simple, I ask you to pick up the Power Page – so I feel I should be able to demonstrate that winning with the Power Page is not just a possibility. Also, I make plenty of comments and offer opinions on horse racing in general and about handicapping. So do lots of other people. But how many of those supposed experts really can win at the game they claim expertise.
To my way of thinking, real expertise is tangible. I try to demonstrate it!
Tomorrow’s Bluegrass and Ark Derby should get us well along the way to understanding the upcoming Kentucky Derby on the first Saturday in May. These races should answer many questions, but I have a feeling, they will actually create more questions than answers. Here’s one idea, if Hansen wins the Bluegrass in some impressive fashion, we will still not fully understand his terrible first effort in the slop at Gulfstream Park, when he lost an easy lead in average fractions. WE will look back at his two giant synthetic efforts as a two year old and see another big run on the synthetics. So maybe you can start to see how this just muddles the form. Also, was it really great to wait for the Bluegrass and a 3 week setup to the KD. Was he needing recovery time since his last race? Anyway, this is a tough read before the race is actually run.
In the Ark Derby, we might find out more about Secret Circle. He’s a very surprising horse with a very high turn of speed. Maybe Secret Circle is the sleeper in the Derby. But just remember if he does move forward in the AD, then we might be looking a a KD contender that had no route or two turn races as a two year old and didn’t win a two turn race until Feb.20, 2012. Again, very odd form. Bodemeister is really a problem! if he punches his ticket to the KD, then here would would have a horse from BBaffert that would be going into the KD with only 4 lifetime races. How could we back a horse with only 4 lifetime races, it’s never been done to my knowledge, several have tried, none have succeeded. But this is Bob Baffert! So you can see how this KD is shaping up and why I’m focused like a laser-beam on these two preps…
Friday’s two play turned into 1 play as Candy and Thunder was scratched. The totals now go to winnings of $310.10 against a cost of $298.00. The ROI is at $1.04 per $1.00 wagered. These totals are for the entire year going back to 12/26/2011, for the beginning of Santa Anita 2012.