Belmont offers one of the years best cards, with 11 race packed with high class runners.  The lead would have to be Mendelssohn who is heading up the Dwyer  (Race #6), but in fact this is the least interesting race to me, as Mendelsohn appears to be 1/2 and if he actually went off at the M/L of 8/5 he would be a fabulous bet – in my opinion!

HE went off in the KD at only 6.8/1 and had a very difficult time in the early going – while clearly having no experience on the sloppy going.  If we simply toss that race and look back to his UAE Derby on March 31, he posted a figure 8 lengths faster than any of his competition has run… and here I am being kind to the opposition.  Noble Indy seems like the horse with some “class” but to be totally honest, I simply hate his form cycle and think every race he has run since his 2nd effort has been indicating there is something wrong under the hood!

Normal handicapping would discard Mendelssohn’s one “X” in the slop at Churchill Downs – and a return to prior ability would be expected – and a return to his prior efforts simply will “black jack theses”.  That’s the way I see the Dwyer…

But the rest of the card has other tremendous horses — and super competitive fields, which will make for some great races…

And while Los Alamitos is not nearly as exciting a card, it also has some good plays and you shouldn’t turn you back on this card at all… Truthfully, I think Los Alamitos is an easier place to make some nice scores… and we have through the meet so far…

Friday’s Play at Belmont….

Race #7 Point To Remember off at 4/1 ran credibly while only able to get 3rd money… but he did try.  I am a little disappointed with the outcome, especially not holding the place!