Overlay of the Day:
Saturday’s cards are both Saratoga and Del Mar featured several obvious overlays on the Power Page, two bets that if you were patient you had to be a winner. The first was at Saratoga with Princess of Sulymar going off at 2/1 against odds-on Unlimited Budget. The PP correctly and definitively rated Princess of Sulymar at 76.5 and Unlimited Budget at 74.0, with a huge imbalance in the betting odds made Princess of Sulymar a must play. Interestingly, Princess dusted Unlimited Budget back in May in the Kentucky Oaks — I have to wonder out-loud how many times can the Princess can keep betting UB at a nice price!
The next super duper overlay was at Del Mar, in which we have witnessed the inside of the track is a big advantage! So in race #7 Hail Mary rated to be loose early speed, on the rail and much the fastest for the distance. There was nothing to stop this filly from winning, it was simply a betting proposition, ‘if she runs her race she wins ” and what are the probabilities on that. I would have thought she wins at least 1 in 2 chances at the very worse, making her an obvious EVEN money play, but we got 9/5 – literally an 80% premium. At least that was my view…