Wednesday’s (3/7/2012)Power Page and KHSS for Aqueduct is now ready for download…

Some quick bookkeeping,  STAR horses had a winning week of Plus $91.70 against a cost of  $70.00.   For those who are up on my STAR horses, you are aware I had put a STAR on Recurring Dreams who paid a whopping $91.50.   In this calculation, I only credited $63.05 to total, counting for win and place, which lowers the total drastically in this case.  But it makes plenty of sense over the long-run, because the 40/1 long-shots will run second many more times than they win.  So after a few of those types of results, it makes great sense to calculate in this manner.  Warrior From Above is a perfect example of what I was just saying.  And as soon as I can go back over the entire year to re-calc this way, I will post a full year figure…

As for my selections, from the last 10 plays I have picked 1 winner and 4 place horses.  Both Setsuko on Saturday and I Feel Free on Sunday were very playable, as Setsuko was beaten by Ron The Greek who was one of only 2 other exotic turn horses, so at 7/2 the exacta needed to be turned as I expressed on Race Day and the exacta paid a very handsome $19.90 for $1.00 wagered.  Then on Sunday, I Feel Free ran a solid 2nd to ultimate winner Victoriasugred…  for a terrific exacta of $38.80 to $1.00.   Now here is the thing with 2/1 favorites.   You simply cannot turn them with all your exacta horse, but you MUST turn the exactas with your double digit long-shots.  If you think otherwise, then change your thinking because you are simply mistaken.   Whenever you can get a favorite underneath anything decent you get one of the great premiums in horse racing.  I guarantee that my old betting cronies are cringing when I write this.  Do the math, if you don’t know the math, then just trust me…  Anyway back to resulting, the winning total is at a total return of $205.50 at a cost of $194.00.  The ROI sits at $1.06 per $1.00 wagered.  The road is long, with many a twist and a turn, but at the end of this journey, it’s my challenge to be on plus street with you guys…  Stay with…