Songbird gets a little time off…
The great 3 year old filly, has spiked a fever and is now withdrawn from the Kentucky Oaks. This is a real blow for horse racing, as we would have hoped her brilliance would have dazzled the world. It’s the hope of this fan, that she recovers nicely and shows up later in the season as brilliant as ever…
Creator wins the Arkansas Derby
ai think it’s fair to say that Creator, Suddenbreakinnews, Destin, Gun Runner and several others have the chance to move forward which they would have to do to win the Kentucky Derby. But that is exactly what happens this time of year, especially for 3 year old colts… I have left Mohaymen out of the discussion, but even he could be dangerous if his ability to recover and improve in line with his 2 year old form were to happen. More to follow, but at this time, Creator seems a little more than 4 lengths behind Mor Spirit and maybe more than that behind Nyquist…
Try the new JJPP – PLUS — same as Classic JJPP, Plus a Contender’s List and more—>
With the following special Features, PLUS our new feature… the Pop-Out-Key — POK
- 1 or 2 Featured Play’s per card…
- Several exotic wagers are “considered” for your review…
- Handicapping commentary around our Featured Play
- Light betting strategy – around our exotic plays…
- A Contender’s List in every race
- PLUS… all the information of the Classic Jerry J’s Power Page
- The Pop Out Key, its a bit different than the “Featured-Play”, it’s an Alert, this might be a “win/place” horse to build an exotic spread around…It’s just an ALERT, for our customer’s to consider — price should be a factor in your decision – in my opinion…
Resulting the “Featured Play” will be back after the weekend…
3 year olds that rate !
Whitmore and Cupid gets demoted…Creator takes a strong position as does Suddenbreakinews on upswing!
- Nyquist — Will go into KD with only 2 races as a 3 year old! (Won the Big battle in Florida Nyquist — knocked out Mohaymen)
- Mor Spirit — Big tough colt, San Felipe and SA Derby set him up for a big race in the KD… FAST or Tight track only!
- Destin — winner of Tampa Bay Derby,flattered by Outwork, excellent prospect…
- Exaggerator –reappears on this list, with a caveat — only in the slop or muddy… IF the track is MUDDY – he becomes #2.
- Creator – starting to look nice, developing at the right time…
- Suddenbrekinews – same as Creator, developing at the right time…
- Gun Runner — all nice races, but must move forward and should move forward, but he has some distance in form to go.
- Danzing Candy — overused on the front end in the SA Derby, but still brilliant early – might have a recovery race in him…
- Outwork — now a listed contender, has true brilliance and some staying power, problem is Pletcher is not good at KD..
- Whitmore – another lightly raced colt who is showing some forward strides, this weekend should be telling.
- Moyhamen ( downgraded further off disappointment in Florida Deryb…)
Mor Spirit has been moved down to 2nd, Cupid is out
Track Bias Report for Sunday:
Aqueduct: The track played more honestly, still the inside if very good…..
Los Alamitos : Very Balanced Race Track — HONEST…
Race Day Plays for Sunday:
Aqueduct : Race #4th.. Wine Not… overbet at 1/1… broke well, but needed to be ridden to stay within proper distance, moved outside at the 3/16th and finished well for the show, just not quite good enough to get the place… comment, this was way overbet …
Los Alamitos : Race #5… He’s A knockout… off at 8/1 …Broke well, but was not up to racing with this group at all, out of the money…
ROI – .96 Total Plays = 131, —- wins = 27, —– place = 24, —– Total exacta 31/131
Total return $251.90
Total Cost $262.00
Kentucky Derby Seminars with Jerry J:
Two seminars again — just like last year… both on Friday — May 6th…
At Sam’s Town at 4:00 PM, as Ralph Siraco MC’s a panel of Jon Lindo and ME (Jerry J)
At Texas Station at 6:15PM … This is my SOLO ACT… loaded with handicapping stuff… including my Speed Figs (the ones I build the JJPP from) and the KD Power Page… we can expect refreshments and more give-a-ways…
For 16 of the past 18 years, I have been fortunate to do a Seminar for Stations Casino, and very much enjoy doing our Solo Seminar, this allows us to get deep into the form of each horse. It’s only just over 10 years since we came up with Giacomo and Mad About You, to which several of my customer’s came up with mega scores, one even, my dear friend Larry Bloch, took down the Superfecta and Trifecta and slightly more than $1 Million. To which – to the amazement and awe of all of Larry’s friends and family, he gave it all away! He had the score of a lifetime and shared it with friends and family…
So – this seminar – like all my Kentucky Derby seminars is to honor the memory of my friend – Larry Bloch. And in the spirit of Larry B, we will be looking to find another “appropriate” play in this years edition of the Kentucky Derby.