July 28, 2010
…STILL A GREAT DEAL… My Del Mar Special is offered every year, just for Del Mar. The approximate cost of each Power Page at only $2.65 if you act now! When you purchase the special, the Del mar Power Pages are AUTOMATICALLY e-mailed to you the night-before, usually before 8PM.
Here is an interesting statistic — Top Rated horses have finished (1st or 2nd) 154 out of 295 times — from June 25th through July 18th. every race with least 1 rated starter was counted at both Belmont and Hollywood Park during this period.
This means that the TOP-RATED horses emulate the frequency of being a favorite without always having the negative of being the favorite — the short price. Beyond that, remember, you can adjust my numbers according to your own handicapping, since I don’t include important fundemental handicapping factors such as post position, workouts, trainer patterns, jockey moves, claiming, 1st gelding and anything else you can think of that isn’t in a speed figure. Just taking this set of horses and improving the set with your own handicapping should make you a winner, if we can keep the frequency rate up…Let’s follow it together, through Del mar and Saratoga…
Naturally, at the beginning of the meeting, with the most recent races occurring at other tracks, we might expect the top-rated horses to be slightly less frequent. We can learn together, so far at Del Mar the TR is 18 (1st or 2nds) out of 55 races, through Saturday 7/24/10 — including all the turf to dirt races at Saratoga. I will continue to follow these and include Saratoga to the mix…STAR horses are PLUS EQUITY!
Today’s Free Play … Saratoga…Race #9 …Our Top rated horse is Royal Fortune and trained by the excellent Dick dutrow Jr. at 4/1 this seems pretty fair value for such a fast horse, must overcome a slightly difficult post, but it’s not a terrible post! Thsi should make an excelletn win/place wager and be the finishing point for some late DD’s or Pick 3. Today’s play on the Race Day Show is the 8th at Saratoga. See what happens when we get good weather.