On RaceDayLas Vegas, I gave out a beautiful play, using Arriverdic Cairo as a “win/place” wager and making exacta OVER & UNDER using Meltarib, Sunburn and Ruffled Feathers. As it happenned, Meltarib beat Arriverderci Cairo by a little nose dashing our win bets at the 9/1 odds that AC was carrying. But, the reverse exacta with Meltarib in the win position and AC unnderneath paid a fabulous 25.50 / 1.00. And for those who understand betting properly, you no doubt played that number more times, to insure that you were not “de-premiumed” as is the case when the chalk beats your longshot! There is a great deal in the first line here, especially for people who say stuff like, ” I don’t like betting against myself!” YOU ARE NOT RUNNING, you are engaging in a wagering game, that has some definate do’s and don’ts. Play 9/1 horses to win only, is silly beyond words because it’s financially a loser and reversing the favorite the same amount as another horse makes even less sense, considering these two facts, a) that the favorite comes in 1/3 of the time and b) the favorite is overused in the exotic. The answer is simple, if you reverse a longshot for $2.00 with a typical horse, you probably need to reverse the exacta with the favorite for at least a $5.00 bill. The reason is simple, you then are NOT “‘de-premiumed”.
In Thursday’s example the top rated horse in the 7th race went off at 9/1 and ran very well, earning us a very nice “earn” running 2nd with a place price of $7.40 and and exacta price of $25.50 for a $1.00 wager. In the very next race Bull Ring was top rated and won, paying $5.80 to win. In one case we had a terrific wager and in the other case, we had a mediocre wager at best. The Power Page did a splendid job of showing both these horses in the bright light for you to consider!