Terrible Training Jobs! This Blurp will be out on Friday night.
Sensational performances, by horse, jockey and trainer! This is one I will be enjoying and look forward to discussing…
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“Race Day Las Vegas” Plays
Aqueduct was the home to 2 plays on Race Day today. In the first play we tabbed an first time starter,dial Josh, who went off at a pretty big price, broke in a slow stride, while racing as one of two back markers, offering a very modest run in the stretch finishing mid-pack, while NEVER really in the hunt.
Then in my next play, Tiznoble in the 5th off at 6/1… broke a touch slow, then rushed up in the first quarter to be right off the pace, moved up to challenge for the lead around the turn and was in mortal combat turning for home, regained the lead at the 3/16th pole to gain supremacy, but was caught in the final 100 yards to be the victim of a stout closing run by the favorite (who had mensa-like money puffing wind in his sails)… Tiznoble raced to his name, and was MUCH THE SECOND BEST – while holding the PLACE. Tabbed exacta of $13.80/$1 and Trifecta of $53.25/$1.
The first play was at Aqueduct, we took a stand on Moviemaker in the 6th off at 8/1. This turf to dirt angle didn’t work well at all… MM was racing on the outside and from off the pace, which turns out to have been a good trip yesterday, but a terrible trip today… Still he only raced middling… with others running superior races while encountering similar difficulties… I might like this horse going back on turf… maybe…
At Del Mar, my 2nd play of the day was Silky Spy who ran a terrific race… going to the front and improving her position from there. She was brilliant from flag fall to finish – off at 5/2, the $7.20 win price seems generous in retrospect, but right at my published fair value… As stated on Race Day, this was primarily a straight win bet…
In the 9th at Aqueduct we tabbed, Quai Voltaire off at 3/1, which was right at it’s M/L, which tells you I think the horse had a solid “value proposition” – I try very hard to avoid underlays, so if my play is at the M/L, it probably has value in my mind. QV broke in stride to take up the chase down the backstretch, there was no rush as it’s a long run to the turn, moved up early on the turn to get within striking distance, pulled alongside the leaders coming out of the turn… driven hard to take the lead and persevered with to maintain an advantage… won going away as the clear winner paying $8.40 and taking down the exacta.
TOTALS for New York and So. Cal Plays
(starting February 24, 2017 )
NY Total Return $414.10, Total Cost $ 346.00 ROI Total $1.20/$1.00
SC Total Return $321.10, Total Cost $ 332.00, ROI Total $ .97/$1.00
Returns on all plays for 2017
Total Return $ 844.30
Total Cost $ 812.00
ROI $1.04 (1-1-2017 thru 11/22/2017)