ARROGATE — “wha happened!”
Fugetaboutit, this was totally shocking. But it happens. Secretariat got beat, Seattle Slew got beat, Affirmed got beat, Citation got beat, American Pharoah got beat. “They all get beat”, are the immortal words of my Uncle Frankie. Uncle Frankie was one of the guys who taught my friend Robert, who taught me. It happens, pick a reason :
a) he bounced because the effort in Dubai was just too much
b) he hated the surface of Del Mar
c) he wasn’t trained sufficiently by Bob Baffert
d) He hurt himself somewhere along the way… something we can’t see.
We can probably add a few more “possible” reasons to the list… but it really doesn’t matter. So now the question is, will he “return to form” or not. If he does return to form, then he might actually live up to my opinion that he is the best horse since Affirmed. If he does not bounce back, then he is simply a very talented horse, but not one for the mantle, where Secretariat, Seattle Slew, Affirmed & Alydar, Citation and American Pharoah take up residence…
BOGO — Buy One Get One FREE…
Your first purchase of the season, through Monday, through July 24th
Saratoga Opens… Hip Hip Hooray!!!
Del Mar 7/19/2017 … The main track was very speed favoring. The only horses to make up anything of significance was on closing on the inside. Suggesting that the outer part of the track was a little slow.
As I said on yesterday’s post, let’s wait and see… Let’s not anticipate the bias, it will tell us!
Del Mar 7/20/2017… Again the Main track was heavily biased toward front speed and inside runner.
Del Mar 7/21/2017)… Seemed pretty honest, but I would still rate it as a small speed favoring track.
The Turf has played HONESTLY (Honest for Del Mar – same as in previous year) all three days.
Saratoga… 7-21-2017…The Main track has a little inside advantage… just a touch…
The Turf definitely has an inside advantage…
Race Day Plays
Del Mar..Race #7… Saint Dermot off at 12/1… ran along behind the early leaders but not that far out of it, started to pick up the running as he moved to the middle of the track, at which point the two leaders scooted away. Clearly he was moving well, but on slower going… got up for the show, but beaten a good number of lengths. Good Effort, Fine Price, but tough luck…
Del Mar…Race #7… Shy Carmelita off at 14/1… ran forwardly, showing surprising early speed, turned for home in a tussell and managed to eventually defeat the early leader he dueled with throughout, but could not withstand the late close of Snow Cloud. But gamely got the PLACE… We got this $305/$2 exacta. I thought he was a bit too forwardly… just my opinion.
Saratoga…Race #7 Red Rifle off at 4/1… took back behind SLLOOOWWW fractions, wrangled back to last and that was it… poor ride… I might come back to this one…
Del Mar…Race #6 Candy Promises off at 8/1… well placed but sluggish, trying to make headway on the inside… nothing really…
TOTALS for New York and So. Cal Plays
(starting February 24, 2017 )
NY Total Return $155.40, Total Cost $ 168.00, ROI Total $0.92/$1.00
SC Total Return $176.3, Total Cost $ 166.00, ROI Total $1.06/$1.00
Returns on all plays for 2017
Total Return $ 438.7
Total Cost $ 476.00
ROI $0.92 (1-1-2017 thru 7/21/2017)