Sunday’s (4-3-2016) Power Page and PLUS for Aqueduct and Santa Anita are ready for download…

 Nyquist rolls to an easy win in the Florida Derby 2016.

My chart call: Nyquist took to the early lead right out of the gate, waited for some competition to come to him, dispatched them on the backstretch as they entered the far turn.  Mohaymen also began his rally,  moving up – wide – to get within 1 1/2 lengths of Nyquist midway on the far turn, but could get no closer.  Nyquist extended his stride, exposing his superiority, dismissing the rest without raising a sweat — in my opinion

Mohaymen’s wide early trip — probably was too much for him to overcome. This would be an excuse if he was beaten a couple of lengths, while remaining competitive to the end.  But the reality is, the early difficulties kept him from  competing, he just does not appear to be of the same class as Nyquist.

Everyone is entitled to their opinion, and we heard quite a few, the silliest of them all was from the public that made Mohaymen the favorite over Nyquist. I had rated Nyquist at 4 lengths faster than Mohaymen, but  that didn’t begin to tell the tale.  The real truth is — the difference between the two is probably much greater.  I was hopeful that Mohaymen might be ready to start showing proper development, but the reality is, he was a faster two year old than he is as a 3 year old and when he encountered real competition, his flaws were shown for all to see, something is either hurting this horse or he doesn’t have the next gear.  What that means in terms of future form for Mohaymen is he will probably make an occasional fast race, but not a steady run of good races for big prizes.

I am a little sad about this, because I had hoped that Mohaymen would play Alydar to Nyquist rendition of Affirmed.  Once again, I see the fair comparison  between Nyquist and the truly great Affirmed.  Again, Nyquist made the early running, in this case there was absolutely no other horse with enough lick to make the lead.  It was easy to see Nyquist, just waiting for horses to come to him and when they did he ran away…plain and simple…  Can anyone imagine how fast this horse could actually run  —  if there was some competition that merited his respect!

So we are back to looking for competition for Nyquist, and again we are looking at the great filly  Songbird, Mor Spirit, Danzing Candy and Cupid and a few others that might be ready to step forward.

It may be awhile before we see the true battle royale — Nyquist vs. Songbird!

One last comment… and this is a prediction that is way over the top… But at this stage, when the form is synchronized–  matching  up the  form  American Pharoah to Nyquist as of Early April of each horses respective year, I would take Nyquist and that is knowing, which we all came to know — just how  good American Pharoah could become and did become!  I think the horizon for Nyquist is magnificent — but only time and Nyquist’s hopeful resilience can prove this out.

So my early opinon on the crop was  —  that it was a great crop.   This opinion  is slightly tarnished now —  it is evident that Mohaymen is just pretender and he was a major player in this being a “great crop”.  But there is no doubt in my mind that Nyquist is still on the road to true greatness, but that is something he will have to still prove on the track…


Try the new PLUS — same as Classic JJPP,  Plus a Contender’s List and more—>

With the following special Features, PLUS our new feature… the Pop-Out-Key

  1. 1 or 2 Featured Play’s per card…
  2. Several exotic wagers are “considered” for your review…
  3. Handicapping commentary around our Featured Play
  4. Light betting strategy – around our exotic plays…
  5. A Contender’s List in every race
  6. PLUS… all the information of the Classic Jerry J’s Power Page
  7. The Pop Out Key, its a bit different than the “Featured-Play”, it’s an Alert, this might be a “win/place” horse to build an exotic spread around…It’s just an ALERT, for our customer’s to consider — price should be a factor in your decision – in my opinion…

Resulting the “Featured Play”  — ( A daily play  highlighted with Handicapping commentary  on the JJPP-PLUS)  …  showing plenty of Green!

Update on Thursday night…

  • 4- 1      Aqu    —    Splendid Gold                   Out
  • 4- 1    S.A.  —  Allsquare                   WIN     3.20
  • 3-27    S.A.    —   Bandito Too                       Out
  • 3-26   Aqu     —   Petrocelli                            Show
  • 3-26    S.A.    —   Revenue Virginius          Place
  • 3-25    Aqu    —   Hangry                    Scratched
  • 3-25  S.A.  —   Royal Albert Hall   WIN       5.20
  • 3-24    Aqu   —    Madame Maybry           Place
  • 3-24  S.A.  —   Faithfully                WIN      5.20
  • 3-20  Aqu     —   Tizsomethingroyal        Place
  • 3-20  S.A.     —   Toew’s On Ice       Scratched
  • 3-19  Aqu      —    Surspun                             Out
  • 3-19  S.A.      —    J Serino                             Out 
  • 3-18  Aqu     —   Reverend Green      WIN   5.70
  • 3-18  Aqu      —    Salem Loop                     Out
  • 3-18 S.A.    —  Crushin Candy        WIN   3.40
  • 3-17   Aqu     —   Rich ‘N’ Tuck                   Show
  • 3-17  S.A.      —   Bully Pulpit                      Out
  • 3-13  Aqu      —   Sweetrayofsunshine    Place
  • 3-13  S.A.      —  Warren’s Wesley            Place
  • 3-13 S. A       —    Jenna’s Faith                  Out
  • 3-12  Aqu       —  Hey Bro                             Place
  • 3-11-  S. A.      —  No Play, racing cancelled before Toews On Ice ran
  • 3-11  Aqu.      —   Imperia         Out
  • 3-10 Aqu.      —   Takress          Place
  • 3-10 Aqu.   — Making Havoc    WIN   $4.10
  • 3-10 S.A.       —    Lob City         Place
  • 3-10  S.A.  —   Mr. Cartagena     WIN   $4.20  
  • 3/6 Aqu.   —  Imslowpokerodri  WIN  $4.50
  • 3/6  S. A.  —  W. Giles                  WIN  $4.80
  • 3/5 Aqu.     —   Marble Falls       Place
  • 3/5    S. A.    —  Ketos                   Out
  • 3/5 Aqu.   —  Bustin The Bank   WIN  $4.60
  • 3/4  Aqu.     —  El Genio                   Show
  • 3/4  S. A.  —  Na. From Na          WIN  $6.60

Our Featured Plays are typically reliable short priced horses to use in various exotic type wagers…These are difficult to make $$$ with, but are often very interesting to talk about…

Last week, 3/17 thru 3/20 we were 3 wins, 2 Place from 10 total.

They still have to win and they still need to have a near-positive ROI, our highest Priced Featured Play this past month was Boozer at $14.00 in the 6th at Santa Anita on 2/27/2016.

Mohaymen dropped to the bottom

3 year olds that rate !

  1. Nyquist  —  Continues to do everything right, will go into KD with only 2 races as a 3 year old!  (Big battle in Florida Nyquist knocks out Mohaymen)
  2. Mor Spirit —  Big tough colt, San Felipe was an excellent maintenance for this distance loving colt!
  3. Songbird (the fabulous filly – she could be the best, no competition so far — full of brilliance)
  4. Danzing Candy  — Continuous improvement, ” brilliance “,  the front end just got tougher for everyone, a little lightly races for my taste..
  5. Cupid — ran almost as fast as Danzing Candy and like DC, very lightly raced, which at some point will become a problem!
  6. Destin — winner of Tampa Bay Derby, strong finishing move, but not facing first flight yet, interesting…
  7. Whitmore  –  another lightly raced colt who is showing some forward strides.
  8. Gun Runner — all nice races, but must move forward and should move forward
  9. Moyhamen   ( downgraded further off disappointment in Florida Deryb…)

  Mor Spirit has now improved, but not enough to go ahead of Nyquist…  I will discuss Cupid in a couple of days, to see if we should add him to this list, it’s a definite maybe…

Track Bias Report for Saturday:

Aqueduct: Honest in general, but I am thinking the rail was a little slow – make a note…

Santa Anita : Saturday :   Seemed pretty honest.

 Race Day Plays for Friday:

Aqueduct: Race #8  — Interior Secretary …off at  4/1 —  Prominent throughout, went head to head on the far turn, then grinded hard — to the win as the best — Win paid $10.20, nice exacta $37.20/$2.00

Santa Anita  Race # 4  — Dragon Flower … off at 7/2… was in the front end battle from the beginning, but off the very live rail, tussled for control as they turned for home, but was outfinished by Tinderette as MUCH the 2ND BEST… PLACE.

Race Day Plays for Saturday:

Aqueduct : Race #10 — La Inesperada … off at 6/5 —  Followed the pack, made a mild rally to secure 3rd…  Here is the deal, the track was muddy and the handicapping unable to anticipate the conditions… The JJPP showed that Nuffsaid Nuffsaid is a superior Mudder because he had a (M) and Nuffsaid Nuffsaid was an uncoupled entry from the same barn at 3/1.   I hope the 6/5 price scared everyone away…

Santa Anita : Race # 9: Dustin’s Passion  … off at 5/2, saved ground while laying back slightly, came up to the leaders on the far turn and continued along the rail, swung out at the top of the lane, took dead aim but was outgamed by Lucky Shoes To Win – one of our exacta horses… PLACE and Exacta…

ROI  – 1.02    Total Plays = 110,   —-  wins = 23,  —–  place = 18,  —–  Total exacta 27/110

Total return $223.80

Total Cost    $220.00

Kentucky Derby Seminars with Jerry J:

Two seminars again — just like last year… both on Friday — May 6th…

At Sam’s Town at 4:00 PM, as Ralph Siraco MC’s a panel of  Jon Lindo and ME (Jerry J)

At Texas Station at 6:15PM …  This is my SOLO ACT… loaded with handicapping stuff… including my Speed Figs (the ones I build the JJPP from) and the KD Power Page…  we can expect refreshments and more give-a-ways…  

For 16 of the past 18 years, I have been fortunate to do a Seminar for Stations Casino, and very much enjoy doing our Solo Seminar, this allows us to get deep into the form of each horse.  It’s only just over 10 years since we came up with Giacomo and Mad About You, to which several of my customer’s came up with mega scores, one even, my dear friend Larry Bloch, took down the Superfecta and Trifecta and slightly more than $1 Million.  To which – to the amazement and awe of all of Larry’s friends and family, he gave it all away!  He had the score of a lifetime and shared it with friends and family…

So –  this seminar – like all my Kentucky Derby seminars is to honor the memory of my friend – Larry Bloch.  And in the sprit of Larry B, we will be looking to find another “appropriate” play in this years edition of the Kentucky Derby.